Fantasy Football Evaluation System · 2026 Prep Season

Draft Intelligence

Price-relative verdicts vs live ADP (FFC mocks, Jun 30 – Jul 7, 2026). Scoring: half-PPR, 6-pt pass TD. Tap any player for quick hits and the full breakdown — usage tables, bull/bear, tripwires, sources.

Players 300 Teams 32 ADP top-150 coverage 100% Generated 2026-07-16
0
must-have
108
target
112
hold
32
fade
48
avoid
The edge gauge — all 300 players on one axis

Chips are the action buckets; the needle is the continuous read (verdict + confidence + board-vs-price gap). Hover a tick for the player.

AvoidFadeHoldTargetMust-have
Quarterbacks

QB — 30 evaluated, board-rank order

QB1#15 Josh Allen BUF medium HOLD high ceil468 med400 flr307 70 27.8 QB2#22 Drake Maye NE medium TARGET ceil458 med386 flr309 56 65.2 QB3#32 Dak Prescott DAL medium HOLD ceil425 med369 flr278 39 58.8 QB4#38 Trevor Lawrence JAX medium HOLD ceil418 med365 flr292 35 80.6 QB5#39 Joe Burrow CIN high HOLD high ceil457 med364 flr235 34 47.6 QB6#47 Caleb Williams CHI low TARGET ceil410 med357 flr294 27 106.3 QB7#52 Justin Herbert LAC medium TARGET ceil410 med352 flr277 22 77.4 QB8#53 Baker Mayfield TB low TARGET ceil409 med349 flr291 19 120.3 QB9#57 Jayden Daniels WAS medium TARGET ceil432 med347 flr245 17 86.6 QB10#62 Brock Purdy SF medium HOLD ceil399 med344 flr248 14 96.3 QB11#70 Patrick Mahomes KC high HOLD ceil410 med342 flr247 12 77.1 QB12#75 Bo Nix DEN medium TARGET ceil388 med340 flr267 10 115.6 QB13#83 Jared Goff DET low HOLD ceil392 med336 flr293 6 90.1 QB14#93 Jalen Hurts PHI medium TARGET high ceil409 med330 flr252 0 93.1 QB15#97 Matthew Stafford LAR medium HOLD ceil392 med330 flr233 0 100.9 QB16#104 Tyler Shough NO medium TARGET ceil384 med329 flr237 -1 149.6 QB17#107 Lamar Jackson BAL high TARGET ceil437 med328 flr224 -2 53.0 QB18#108 Jaxson Dart NYG high TARGET ceil388 med327 flr229 -3 113.6 QB19#122 Kyler Murray MIN high TARGET ceil375 med320 flr210 -10 149.3 QB20#143 C.J. Stroud HOU medium TARGET ceil375 med306 flr212 -24 154.9 QB21#161 Cam Ward TEN medium TARGET ceil354 med290 flr234 -40 UD QB22#163 Bryce Young CAR medium HOLD ceil344 med289 flr219 -41 UD QB23#167 Sam Darnold SEA low HOLD ceil336 med286 flr226 -44 144.2 QB24#168 Jordan Love GB medium TARGET ceil350 med284 flr212 -46 130.0 QB25#186 Jacoby Brissett ARI medium TARGET ceil344 med274 flr190 -56 UD QB26#198 Aaron Rodgers PIT medium HOLD ceil307 med261 flr180 -69 UD QB27#209 Malik Willis MIA high TARGET ceil314 med255 flr143 -75 UD QB28#210 Geno Smith NYJ medium HOLD high ceil322 med254 flr166 -76 UD QB29#298 Tua Tagovailoa ATL high AVOID high ceil314 med168 flr43 -162 139.6 QB30#300 Fernando Mendoza LV medium HOLD ceil229 med115 flr18 -215 UD
Running backs

RB — 100 evaluated, board-rank order

RB1#1 Jahmyr Gibbs DET medium HOLD high ceil370 med315 flr241 161 2.0 RB2#2 Bijan Robinson ATL medium TARGET high ceil359 med308 flr246 154 1.4 RB3#3 Christian McCaffrey SF high FADE ceil354 med274 flr176 120 4.8 RB4#5 Jonathan Taylor IND high FADE ceil322 med260 flr180 106 7.4 RB5#7 James Cook III BUF high FADE ceil305 med252 flr177 98 14.0 RB6#8 De'Von Achane MIA medium FADE ceil314 med250 flr186 96 9.3 RB7#10 Ashton Jeanty LV medium TARGET ceil305 med240 flr182 86 12.4 RB8#12 Omarion Hampton LAC medium TARGET ceil298 med236 flr157 82 16.9 RB9#13 Chase Brown CIN medium TARGET ceil273 med233 flr176 79 15.9 RB10#14 Saquon Barkley PHI high HOLD ceil277 med225 flr151 71 20.2 RB11#16 Kenneth Walker III KC medium TARGET ceil268 med222 flr148 68 22.7 RB12#17 Derrick Henry BAL high FADE high ceil276 med217 flr149 63 15.5 RB13#19 Josh Jacobs GB high FADE ceil269 med216 flr151 62 28.8 RB14#23 Bucky Irving TB high HOLD ceil275 med209 flr136 55 45.4 RB15#25 Javonte Williams DAL medium TARGET ceil255 med204 flr135 50 34.7 RB16#27 Breece Hall NYJ medium HOLD ceil264 med202 flr136 48 29.1 RB17#29 Cam Skattebo NYG high TARGET ceil259 med199 flr128 45 37.9 RB18#30 Jeremiyah Love ARI medium TARGET ceil268 med196 flr134 42 22.2 RB19#31 Kyren Williams LAR medium FADE ceil249 med195 flr142 41 32.5 RB20#34 Travis Etienne Jr. NO medium TARGET ceil259 med192 flr128 38 38.9 RB21#40 D'Andre Swift CHI medium HOLD ceil239 med187 flr118 33 48.3 RB22#43 Quinshon Judkins CLE medium HOLD ceil239 med185 flr129 31 51.0 RB23#60 David Montgomery HOU high HOLD ceil215 med169 flr116 15 56.0 RB24#65 RJ Harvey DEN medium HOLD ceil227 med168 flr105 14 88.4 RB25#66 TreVeyon Henderson NE medium HOLD ceil223 med168 flr122 14 58.7 RB26#71 Chuba Hubbard CAR medium TARGET ceil219 med165 flr118 11 78.6 RB27#84 Tony Pollard TEN medium HOLD ceil210 med160 flr103 6 72.5 RB28#86 Jaylen Warren PIT medium FADE ceil201 med158 flr122 4 65.1 RB29#95 Kyle Monangai CHI medium TARGET ceil201 med154 flr122 0 103.8 RB30#98 Rico Dowdle PIT medium HOLD ceil208 med154 flr103 0 74.3 RB31#111 Jadarian Price SEA medium TARGET ceil207 med150 flr99 -4 73.2 RB32#112 Kenny Gainwell TB medium HOLD ceil208 med150 flr101 -4 98.5 RB33#114 J.K. Dobbins DEN high HOLD ceil209 med149 flr90 -5 95.9 RB34#117 Jacory Croskey-Merritt WAS medium TARGET ceil207 med148 flr96 -6 120.3 RB35#125 Bhayshul Tuten JAX medium FADE ceil204 med142 flr93 -12 61.8 RB36#136 Rhamondre Stevenson NE high HOLD ceil193 med137 flr92 -17 72.0 RB37#142 Jordan Mason MIN medium TARGET ceil187 med132 flr91 -22 126.7 RB38#144 Aaron Jones Sr. MIN high FADE ceil177 med129 flr92 -25 92.4 RB39#151 Blake Corum LAR medium TARGET ceil178 med125 flr90 -29 120.3 RB40#155 Woody Marks HOU medium HOLD ceil188 med124 flr95 -30 137.8 RB41#158 Tyrone Tracy Jr. NYG medium FADE ceil168 med119 flr80 -35 154.8 RB42#160 Rachaad White WAS medium HOLD ceil176 med115 flr75 -39 100.8 RB43#170 Tyjae Spears TEN high HOLD ceil161 med108 flr65 -46 160.4 RB44#173 Isiah Pacheco DET high HOLD ceil154 med106 flr58 -48 146.5 RB45#175 Keaton Mitchell LAC medium HOLD ceil161 med104 flr63 -50 178.8 RB46#178 Chris Rodriguez Jr. JAX medium TARGET ceil156 med100 flr57 -54 154.9 RB47#180 Dylan Sampson CLE medium HOLD ceil150 med100 flr60 -54 UD RB48#181 Brian Robinson Jr. ATL medium TARGET ceil145 med99 flr64 -55 159.2 RB49#184 Jonathon Brooks CAR high HOLD ceil168 med99 flr47 -55 129.6 RB50#185 Alvin Kamara NO high AVOID ceil150 med98 flr49 -56 140.5 RB51#191 Jonah Coleman DEN medium TARGET ceil158 med96 flr50 -58 UD RB52#196 Tyler Allgeier ARI low HOLD ceil150 med88 flr56 -66 UD RB53#197 Tank Bigsby PHI medium TARGET ceil138 med86 flr43 -68 151.0 RB54#202 Kimani Vidal LAC medium TARGET ceil149 med84 flr33 -70 UD RB55#205 Justice Hill BAL high HOLD ceil136 med82 flr40 -72 UD RB56#212 Zach Charbonnet SEA high TARGET ceil138 med77 flr37 -77 149.5 RB57#213 Emmett Johnson KC medium TARGET ceil142 med75 flr32 -79 UD RB58#218 Braelon Allen NYJ medium HOLD ceil139 med72 flr32 -82 UD RB59#220 Mike Washington Jr. LV medium TARGET ceil129 med70 flr28 -84 UD RB60#222 Ray Davis BUF low TARGET ceil125 med69 flr41 -85 UD RB61#224 Isaiah Davis NYJ medium HOLD ceil116 med66 flr34 -88 UD RB62#227 James Conner ARI high AVOID high ceil121 med65 flr23 -89 UD RB63#232 Devin Singletary NYG low AVOID ceil115 med62 flr24 -92 UD RB64#235 Brashard Smith KC high HOLD ceil105 med56 flr17 -98 UD RB65#236 Sean Tucker TB medium HOLD ceil105 med56 flr28 -98 UD RB66#240 Adam Randall BAL medium TARGET ceil121 med50 flr13 -104 UD RB67#241 Devin Neal NO medium HOLD ceil113 med50 flr13 -104 UD RB68#242 Jaydon Blue DAL high HOLD ceil113 med50 flr11 -104 UD RB69#243 Nicholas Singleton TEN medium HOLD ceil103 med50 flr18 -104 UD RB70#245 Demond Claiborne MIN medium AVOID ceil92 med48 flr17 -106 UD RB71#256 Chris Brooks GB low HOLD ceil88 med44 flr21 -110 UD RB72#258 Emanuel Wilson SEA high AVOID ceil95 med43 flr3 -111 UD RB73#259 Jaylen Wright MIA medium HOLD ceil85 med42 flr14 -112 UD RB74#261 Seth McGowan IND high TARGET ceil120 med40 flr10 -114 UD RB75#262 Kaytron Allen WAS medium HOLD ceil94 med38 flr17 -116 UD RB76#264 Trey Benson ARI high AVOID ceil92 med35 flr7 -119 UD RB77#267 Audric Estime NO high AVOID ceil94 med31 flr4 -123 UD RB78#268 Kaleb Johnson PIT high HOLD ceil85 med30 flr11 -124 UD RB79#271 Kendre Miller NO high AVOID high ceil65 med29 flr5 -125 UD RB80#275 Jaleel McLaughlin DEN high AVOID high ceil68 med27 flr4 -127 UD RB81#276 Jeremy McNichols WAS high AVOID high ceil63 med25 flr4 -129 UD RB82#277 Jarquez Hunter LAR high AVOID ceil60 med23 flr2 -131 UD RB83#279 Tahj Brooks CIN medium AVOID ceil60 med18 flr4 -136 UD RB84#280 Michael Carter TEN high AVOID high ceil60 med16 flr0 -138 UD RB85#281 Tyler Badie DEN high AVOID high ceil46 med12 flr2 -142 UD RB86#282 Andrew Beck NYJ medium AVOID high ceil30 med8 flr2 -146 UD RB87#283 Isaac Guerendo SF high AVOID high ceil52 med7 flr0 -147 UD RB88#284 Eli Heidenreich PIT high AVOID high ceil45 med6 flr0 -148 UD RB89#285 Julius Chestnut TEN high AVOID high ceil23 med5 flr0 -149 UD RB90#286 Pierre Strong GB high AVOID high ceil39 med5 flr0 -149 UD RB91#287 Salvon Ahmed CHI high AVOID high ceil32 med4 flr0 -150 UD RB92#288 Jacardia Wright SEA high AVOID high ceil28 med3 flr0 -151 UD RB93#289 Corey Kiner ARI high AVOID high ceil23 med2 flr0 -152 UD RB94#290 Elijah Mitchell PHI high AVOID high ceil26 med2 flr0 -152 UD RB95#291 Kendall Milton CIN high AVOID high ceil14 med2 flr0 -152 UD RB96#292 Robert Henry WAS high AVOID ceil26 med2 flr0 -152 UD RB97#294 Cody Schrader DEN high AVOID high ceil12 med0 flr0 -154 UD RB98#295 Jabari Small DET high AVOID high ceil24 med0 flr0 -154 UD RB99#296 Le'Veon Bell TB high AVOID high ceil0 med0 flr0 -154 UD RB100#297 Lincoln Pare IND high AVOID high ceil11 med0 flr0 -154 UD
Wide receivers

WR — 100 evaluated, board-rank order

WR1#4 Puka Nacua LAR medium HOLD ceil339 med277 flr213 112 2.6 WR2#6 Ja'Marr Chase CIN low TARGET high ceil320 med270 flr210 105 3.8 WR3#9 Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEA low TARGET high ceil300 med259 flr195 94 5.8 WR4#11 Amon-Ra St. Brown DET low HOLD ceil278 med249 flr198 84 7.3 WR5#20 CeeDee Lamb DAL medium TARGET high ceil265 med226 flr168 61 10.6 WR6#24 Justin Jefferson MIN low TARGET ceil259 med216 flr171 51 10.1 WR7#28 George Pickens DAL low TARGET ceil252 med211 flr171 46 17.4 WR8#33 Ladd McConkey LAC medium TARGET ceil245 med203 flr146 38 36.6 WR9#36 Zay Flowers BAL low HOLD ceil247 med202 flr147 37 26.2 WR10#42 Drake London ATL medium TARGET ceil246 med196 flr147 31 12.9 WR11#44 Nico Collins HOU high TARGET ceil250 med195 flr133 30 23.7 WR12#45 DeVonta Smith PHI medium TARGET ceil237 med194 flr150 29 29.1 WR13#46 Emeka Egbuka TB low TARGET ceil230 med194 flr149 29 46.6 WR14#51 Chris Olave NO medium HOLD ceil234 med187 flr130 22 20.4 WR15#54 Rashee Rice KC high TARGET ceil246 med183 flr118 18 27.1 WR16#55 Tetairoa McMillan CAR low TARGET ceil220 med183 flr133 18 32.6 WR17#56 A.J. Brown NE medium HOLD ceil220 med182 flr133 17 14.5 WR18#59 Jaylen Waddle DEN medium TARGET ceil220 med181 flr135 16 42.6 WR19#63 Luther Burden III CHI medium HOLD ceil240 med179 flr130 14 46.2 WR20#67 Davante Adams LAR high HOLD ceil224 med177 flr125 12 40.6 WR21#68 Garrett Wilson NYJ medium HOLD ceil214 med177 flr120 12 26.9 WR22#72 Rome Odunze CHI medium TARGET high ceil219 med176 flr118 11 55.0 WR23#73 Terry McLaurin WAS medium TARGET ceil218 med176 flr116 11 36.9 WR24#74 Alec Pierce IND medium TARGET ceil225 med175 flr118 10 60.1 WR25#76 DJ Moore BUF low TARGET ceil214 med175 flr137 10 66.3 WR26#81 Brian Thomas Jr. JAX medium TARGET ceil226 med172 flr120 7 84.3 WR27#82 Jameson Williams DET medium HOLD ceil215 med171 flr114 6 49.6 WR28#87 Marvin Harrison Jr. ARI medium TARGET ceil220 med168 flr127 3 65.1 WR29#89 Tee Higgins CIN high FADE ceil216 med168 flr117 3 27.8 WR30#91 Carnell Tate TEN low TARGET ceil211 med165 flr106 0 62.6 WR31#92 Jakobi Meyers JAX medium HOLD ceil195 med165 flr119 0 98.5 WR32#99 Christian Watson GB high TARGET ceil223 med164 flr105 -1 60.7 WR33#100 Courtland Sutton DEN low TARGET ceil198 med164 flr130 -1 70.2 WR34#115 Malik Nabers NYG high HOLD ceil212 med160 flr98 -5 43.0 WR35#118 DK Metcalf PIT medium HOLD ceil210 med158 flr116 -7 57.0 WR36#123 Mike Evans SF high HOLD ceil210 med155 flr87 -10 50.7 WR37#124 Parker Washington JAX medium FADE ceil190 med155 flr113 -10 74.7 WR38#128 Jordyn Tyson NO high TARGET ceil201 med152 flr98 -13 85.5 WR39#130 Michael Pittman Jr. PIT medium HOLD ceil185 med151 flr118 -14 71.9 WR40#131 Jayden Higgins HOU low TARGET ceil194 med150 flr103 -15 117.3 WR41#132 Jayden Reed GB medium FADE ceil194 med150 flr92 -15 84.1 WR42#137 Chris Godwin Jr. TB medium HOLD ceil200 med147 flr88 -18 78.3 WR43#138 Quentin Johnston LAC medium TARGET ceil185 med146 flr100 -19 100.0 WR44#139 KC Concepcion CLE low HOLD ceil182 med144 flr90 -21 119.8 WR45#145 Wan'Dale Robinson TEN medium HOLD ceil185 med140 flr107 -25 90.2 WR46#149 Jordan Addison MIN medium TARGET ceil173 med138 flr106 -27 94.5 WR47#150 Romeo Doubs NE medium TARGET ceil176 med137 flr102 -28 101.1 WR48#153 Josh Downs IND medium HOLD ceil168 med135 flr99 -30 84.7 WR49#154 Ricky Pearsall SF high TARGET ceil186 med135 flr77 -30 103.6 WR50#156 Xavier Worthy KC medium TARGET ceil185 med134 flr83 -31 97.3 WR51#157 Khalil Shakir BUF medium HOLD ceil168 med133 flr109 -32 105.6 WR52#159 Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ low HOLD ceil167 med126 flr84 -39 135.3 WR53#162 Matthew Golden GB medium TARGET ceil170 med125 flr87 -40 113.6 WR54#164 Jalen Coker CAR medium TARGET ceil168 med124 flr77 -41 110.5 WR55#165 Makai Lemon PHI medium HOLD ceil165 med123 flr76 -42 107.2 WR56#166 Michael Wilson ARI medium FADE ceil153 med121 flr86 -44 80.6 WR57#169 Malik Washington MIA low HOLD ceil157 med119 flr74 -46 159.5 WR58#172 Denzel Boston CLE low TARGET ceil163 med117 flr75 -48 135.6 WR59#176 Rashid Shaheed SEA medium HOLD ceil161 med114 flr66 -51 132.6 WR60#177 Tre Tucker LV low FADE ceil155 med114 flr89 -51 137.7 WR61#182 Jaylin Noel HOU low TARGET ceil150 med110 flr65 -55 UD WR62#183 Jerry Jeudy CLE medium HOLD ceil151 med110 flr65 -55 143.9 WR63#187 Jauan Jennings MIN medium TARGET ceil150 med108 flr79 -57 130.7 WR64#189 Calvin Ridley TEN high HOLD ceil156 med107 flr58 -58 160.5 WR65#190 Jalen Nailor LV medium FADE ceil149 med107 flr68 -58 132.5 WR66#193 Ryan Flournoy DAL low TARGET ceil144 med106 flr74 -59 UD WR67#194 Adonai Mitchell NYJ low TARGET ceil159 med102 flr59 -63 UD WR68#195 Tre' Harris LAC low TARGET ceil162 med102 flr57 -63 158.0 WR69#199 Antonio Williams WAS medium HOLD ceil134 med96 flr60 -69 141.1 WR70#201 Germie Bernard PIT low TARGET ceil140 med95 flr55 -70 UD WR71#203 Cooper Kupp SEA medium FADE ceil135 med93 flr60 -72 169.1 WR72#206 Isaac TeSlaa DET low TARGET ceil135 med92 flr55 -73 UD WR73#208 Jalen McMillan TB medium HOLD ceil137 med90 flr49 -75 141.5 WR74#211 Ted Hurst TB low TARGET ceil145 med88 flr45 -77 UD WR75#214 Chris Brazzell II CAR medium TARGET ceil135 med85 flr40 -80 UD WR76#215 Christian Kirk SF high HOLD ceil130 med85 flr55 -80 UD WR77#216 Darnell Mooney NYG medium HOLD ceil130 med85 flr40 -80 UD WR78#217 Rashod Bateman BAL medium HOLD ceil125 med85 flr30 -80 UD WR79#221 Malachi Fields NYG low TARGET ceil125 med80 flr45 -85 UD WR80#223 Devontez Walker BAL medium TARGET ceil130 med78 flr35 -87 UD WR81#225 Pat Bryant DEN medium TARGET ceil118 med77 flr44 -88 UD WR82#226 Devaughn Vele NO medium HOLD ceil120 med76 flr40 -89 UD WR83#228 De'Zhaun Stribling SF low TARGET ceil130 med75 flr40 -90 UD WR84#229 Keon Coleman BUF medium HOLD ceil125 med75 flr45 -90 UD WR85#230 Tory Horton SEA high TARGET ceil134 med74 flr35 -91 UD WR86#231 Travis Hunter JAX high HOLD ceil114 med74 flr37 -91 161.2 WR87#233 Marvin Mims Jr. DEN medium HOLD ceil115 med71 flr42 -94 UD WR88#234 Troy Franklin DEN medium HOLD ceil114 med69 flr36 -96 UD WR89#237 Jack Bech LV medium HOLD ceil120 med66 flr30 -99 UD WR90#238 Tank Dell HOU high FADE ceil100 med66 flr21 -99 155.7 WR91#239 Elic Ayomanor TEN low HOLD ceil106 med62 flr38 -103 UD WR92#246 Kayshon Boutte NE medium AVOID ceil131 med59 flr30 -106 UD WR93#247 Elijah Sarratt BAL medium TARGET ceil115 med58 flr22 -107 UD WR94#250 Ja'Kobi Lane BAL medium TARGET ceil115 med58 flr25 -107 UD WR95#254 Chimere Dike TEN low HOLD ceil114 med57 flr32 -108 UD WR96#257 Zachariah Branch ATL low HOLD ceil110 med55 flr25 -110 UD WR97#265 Kyle Williams NE medium HOLD ceil105 med45 flr15 -120 UD WR98#278 Chris Bell MIA high HOLD ceil80 med32 flr8 -133 UD WR99#293 Jacob Cowing SF high AVOID high ceil45 med12 flr0 -153 UD WR100#299 Brandon Aiyuk SF high AVOID high ceil48 med0 flr0 -165 143.7
Tight ends

TE — 50 evaluated, board-rank order

TE1#18 Trey McBride ARI low FADE ceil232 med190 flr153 63 27.6 TE2#21 Brock Bowers LV medium HOLD ceil227 med184 flr130 57 35.1 TE3#26 Tyler Warren IND low TARGET ceil207 med177 flr143 50 55.0 TE4#35 Colston Loveland CHI low HOLD ceil211 med164 flr118 37 44.8 TE5#37 Sam LaPorta DET medium TARGET ceil204 med162 flr102 35 71.9 TE6#41 Harold Fannin Jr. CLE medium HOLD ceil194 med160 flr113 33 66.4 TE7#48 Tucker Kraft GB medium TARGET ceil203 med154 flr107 27 71.8 TE8#58 Kyle Pitts Sr. ATL low AVOID ceil181 med144 flr106 17 86.4 TE9#69 George Kittle SF high TARGET ceil190 med139 flr80 12 103.0 TE10#78 Brenton Strange JAX medium TARGET ceil168 med136 flr84 9 152.6 TE11#94 Juwan Johnson NO medium HOLD ceil156 med127 flr89 0 156.5 TE12#96 Mark Andrews BAL medium TARGET ceil160 med127 flr88 0 130.0 TE13#101 Dalton Schultz HOU medium HOLD ceil155 med126 flr92 -1 UD TE14#102 Isaiah Likely NYG medium TARGET ceil168 med126 flr85 -1 138.7 TE15#103 Jake Ferguson DAL low FADE ceil163 med126 flr91 -1 114.8 TE16#109 Travis Kelce KC medium FADE ceil159 med124 flr88 -3 92.0 TE17#113 Oronde Gadsden II LAC low TARGET ceil171 med123 flr89 -4 160.5 TE18#116 Dallas Goedert PHI high HOLD ceil164 med121 flr72 -6 128.9 TE19#126 Chig Okonkwo WAS low HOLD ceil149 med115 flr78 -12 165.1 TE20#127 Hunter Henry NE medium HOLD ceil149 med114 flr85 -13 158.1 TE21#133 T.J. Hockenson MIN medium HOLD ceil142 med112 flr80 -15 157.3 TE22#140 Kenyon Sadiq NYJ medium TARGET ceil144 med106 flr64 -21 168.1 TE23#141 Dalton Kincaid BUF high HOLD ceil164 med105 flr62 -22 134.9 TE24#146 AJ Barner SEA medium HOLD ceil131 med101 flr74 -26 UD TE25#148 Cade Otton TB low HOLD ceil130 med100 flr75 -27 UD TE26#152 Gunnar Helm TEN low TARGET ceil130 med98 flr64 -29 UD TE27#171 Colby Parkinson LAR medium HOLD ceil125 med80 flr45 -47 UD TE28#174 Theo Johnson NYG medium HOLD ceil106 med78 flr50 -49 UD TE29#179 David Njoku LAC high HOLD ceil117 med73 flr32 -54 UD TE30#188 Terrance Ferguson LAR medium HOLD ceil105 med70 flr40 -57 UD TE31#192 Dawson Knox BUF low HOLD ceil105 med68 flr45 -59 UD TE32#200 Mason Taylor NYJ medium HOLD ceil98 med58 flr34 -69 UD TE33#204 Eli Stowers PHI medium HOLD ceil95 med55 flr30 -72 UD TE34#207 Jake Tonges SF medium TARGET ceil95 med52 flr20 -75 UD TE35#219 Noah Gray KC low AVOID high ceil75 med45 flr28 -82 UD TE36#244 Eli Raridon NE medium AVOID ceil65 med22 flr4 -105 UD TE37#248 Erick All CIN high HOLD ceil70 med20 flr0 -107 UD TE38#249 Grant Calcaterra PHI medium AVOID ceil60 med20 flr5 -107 UD TE39#251 Josh Cuevas BAL medium AVOID high ceil55 med20 flr2 -107 UD TE40#252 Max Klare LAR low AVOID high ceil48 med20 flr5 -107 UD TE41#253 Michael Trigg DAL high HOLD ceil65 med20 flr0 -107 UD TE42#255 Luke Farrell SF low AVOID high ceil42 med18 flr5 -109 UD TE43#260 Justin Joly DEN medium AVOID ceil50 med14 flr2 -113 UD TE44#263 Jack Endries CIN high AVOID high ceil35 med8 flr0 -119 UD TE45#266 Brenden Bates CLE high AVOID high ceil25 med5 flr0 -122 UD TE46#269 Ko Kieft TB high AVOID high ceil15 med3 flr0 -124 UD TE47#270 Dae'Quan Wright PHI high AVOID high ceil18 med2 flr0 -125 UD TE48#272 E.J. Jenkins PHI high AVOID high ceil13 med1 flr0 -126 UD TE49#273 John Michael Gyllenborg KC high AVOID high ceil12 med1 flr0 -126 UD TE50#274 Thomas Gordon DET high AVOID high ceil10 med1 flr0 -126 UD
Defenses

DST — 20 evaluated, board-rank order

DST1#49 Seattle Seahawks DST SEA low FADE high ceil175 med146 flr112 24 98.2 DST2#50 Los Angeles Rams DST LAR medium FADE ceil180 med145 flr110 23 104.6 DST3#61 Houston Texans DST HOU medium FADE ceil168 med137 flr104 15 107.0 DST4#64 Minnesota Vikings DST MIN medium TARGET ceil168 med136 flr105 14 135.4 DST5#77 Philadelphia Eagles DST PHI medium TARGET ceil163 med132 flr100 10 126.3 DST6#79 Baltimore Ravens DST BAL medium TARGET ceil165 med130 flr95 8 154.6 DST7#80 Kansas City Chiefs DST KC medium TARGET high ceil165 med130 flr100 8 UD DST8#85 Denver Broncos DST DEN medium FADE ceil166 med127 flr95 5 100.8 DST9#88 Pittsburgh Steelers DST PIT medium TARGET ceil152 med125 flr95 3 148.4 DST10#90 Atlanta Falcons DST ATL medium TARGET ceil155 med122 flr90 0 176.1 DST11#105 Buffalo Bills DST BUF medium FADE ceil155 med120 flr90 -2 149.1 DST12#106 Jacksonville Jaguars DST JAX medium FADE ceil147 med120 flr92 -2 129.9 DST13#110 Green Bay Packers DST GB high HOLD ceil155 med118 flr88 -4 UD DST14#119 Los Angeles Chargers DST LAC medium TARGET ceil135 med115 flr95 -7 161.5 DST15#120 Detroit Lions DST DET medium FADE ceil148 med113 flr84 -9 139.1 DST16#121 New England Patriots DST NE high FADE high ceil140 med113 flr85 -9 118.5 DST17#129 Dallas Cowboys DST DAL high HOLD ceil140 med108 flr80 -14 UD DST18#134 Chicago Bears DST CHI medium FADE ceil135 med105 flr75 -17 166.0 DST19#135 Cincinnati Bengals DST CIN high HOLD ceil140 med105 flr80 -17 UD DST20#147 Washington Commanders DST WAS high FADE ceil130 med96 flr72 -26 173.6
League context

Play-callers — who calls it, and what it means All breakdowns ›

Mike LaFleur ARI · HC · year 1 LaFleur is a Shanahan-tree caller — outside-zone run game married to motion-heavy West Coast timing concepts — whose Jets raw pass rates (62.8%) were roster/script-inflated, not identity. His… Tommy Rees ATL · OC · year 1 Rees's one NFL sample is TE-centric, play-action-heavy (25.4% PA/dropback = high band), 12-personnel-heavy (42% = extreme), moderate motion (~48%), with a healthy RB target share (23.9%) and no fed… Declan Doyle BAL · OC · year 1 Doyle is a Ben Johnson / Sean Payton tree product whose stated pillars are "physical, detailed, and explosive" — run game as the foundation, hunting explosive plays off it, no rigid run/pass split… Joe Brady BUF · HC Brady is a run-tilted (PROE ≈ −2 to −4%), high-motion (60% in 2025), spread-the-ball caller — no fed alpha since CAR 2020: Shakir has led BUF at only ~20% TS two straight years, with RB targets in… Brad Idzik CAR · OC Expect continuity of the Canales system Idzik co-authored — run-tilted (bottom-5 PROE), slow-volume (61 plays/gm), heavy-personnel-friendly (12/13/21/22 combined ~32%), with a moderate play-action… Ben Johnson CHI · HC Johnson is a run-tilted-by-PROE (−3.9%), high-motion, high-play-action caller who generates volume through efficiency and pace rather than pass-heaviness — CHI 2025 was 4th in plays/game (67.1) and… Zac Taylor CIN · HC Taylor with a healthy Burrow is the most reliably pass-tilted caller in football — top-2 pass rate, league-leading PROE, extreme shotgun (92% of dropbacks, 3rd-highest — SharpFootball, 2026), low… Todd Monken CLE · HC · year 1 Monken's BAL tendencies (deeply negative PROE, slow pace, 30% 12 personnel) were Lamar/Henry roster-shaped — separate the caller from the roster. His TB/air-raid roots and pre-BAL history (3 of his… Brian Schottenheimer DAL · HC Schottenheimer's history is run-tilted Air-Coryell (run game + vertical play-action), but with Dak and this receiver room his 2025 Dallas offense played essentially neutral (−1.0 PROE) at the… Davis Webb DEN · OC Webb has never called plays at any level of the NFL — per methodology §9 every tendency here is a low-confidence Payton-system prior, not a Webb track record. The system stays (Payton oversees, same… Drew Petzing DET · OC · year 1 Petzing is a run-lean, heavy-personnel caller (2nd in NFL in rushing yards-per-carry over his three AZ seasons at 4.92 — detroitlions.com, Jan 2026) whose 12/13-personnel rates were among the… Matt LaFleur GB · HC LaFleur is one of the league's most run-tilted callers relative to expectation (25th–30th PROE three straight years) despite an elite pass offense (0.27 dropback EPA, 2nd in 2025 vs −0.07 rush EPA,… Nick Caley HOU · OC Caley's year-1 offense was near-neutral PROE with genuinely high play volume (67.3/gm) — volume comes from pace and a defense that gets the ball back (28 takeaways), not from pass-tilt. Motion is… Shane Steichen IND · HC Steichen is a slightly pass-lean, QB-friendly caller whose 2025 tilt (+3.1% PROE with Jones healthy) was the most aggressive of his IND tenure — but the identity is balance built on the league's best… Liam Coen JAX · HC Coen is a McVay-tree caller who runs a high-volume (66.2 plays/gm, 2025), pass-tilted (6th in PROE) offense with neutral-band motion (47.1%) and PA (~22%), but he spreads targets — his 2025 WR1… Andy Reid KC · HC Reid is a pass-tilt caller (+4.0 PROE even in a lost season), mid pace, low play-action, west-coast timing with schemed short-area YAC touches — his No. 1 read historically funnels to the slot/TE,… Mike McDaniel LAC · OC · year 1 McDaniel is a Shanahan-tree caller — elite motion (~70%, vs Roman's LAC at ~50%), outside zone (MIA ~50% zone runs and 3rd in YBC on zone; LAC 38% and 28th under Roman — NBC Sports, 2026-02-02),… Sean McVay LAR · HC McVay 2025 made an intentional philosophical shift pass-heavy (PROE from −3.0% in 2024 to top-3 in 2025 — FantasyLife/nfelo, fetched 2026-07-07) while simultaneously going TE-heavy: 30.2% 13… Klint Kubiak LV · HC Kubiak is a Shanahan/Gary-Kubiak-tree caller — run-tilted (negative PROE, bottom-10 neutral pass rate, 3rd in rush attempts at SEA 2025), slow pace, under-center heavy (bottom-6 shotgun at both prior… Bobby Slowik MIA · OC Slowik is a Shanahan-tree caller — wide zone married to PA and heavy 21-personnel (29% in HOU 2023, 4th in NFL), slightly pass-over-expected but run-committed in structure; he was fired in HOU after… Kevin O'Connell MIN · HC O'Connell is a McVay-tree caller who passes slightly over expectation (+1.4% career PROE), feeds a true alpha (Jefferson ≥29.8% TS in each of the last two seasons regardless of QB), keeps RB targets… Josh McDaniels NE · OC McDaniels is a mildly pass-tilted (+2.4 PROE), slow-and-methodical, low-11-personnel caller who builds weekly game plans rather than a fixed identity — the 2025 stop is the governing prior since it's… Kellen Moore NO · HC (2–3 sentences): Moore is a fast-pace, high-volume caller — his first five play-calling offenses all ranked top-4 in sec/play and all six averaged ≥65 plays/game (DraftSharks, retrieved 2026-07-07) —… Matt Nagy NYG · OC · year 1 Nagy is a Reid-tree west-coast caller with heavy RPO/misdirection and tempo elements — his 2018 Bears were 2nd in RPO rate and his stated 2026 plan pairs that with Greg Roman's power run game, more… Frank Reich NYJ · OC · year 1 Reich is a West Coast, run-to-set-up-pass caller (nysportsday, 2026-05-12) whose signature is funneling targets to TEs and RBs at WRs' expense — TE target share ≥20% in 8 of his 10 OC/HC seasons, RB… Sean Mannion PHI · OC · year 1 Mannion comes from the LaFleur/Shanahan tree — expect a wide-zone, motion- and play-action-heavy install (GB prior: 44% motion, 26% PA vs PHI's 37%/22% last year) that spreads targets rather than… Mike McCarthy PIT · HC McCarthy is a west-coast timing caller — pass-friendlier than his run-heavy reputation (DAL 2023 PROE +3.0%, 4th; career raw pass 58.6%, >60% in 13 of 18 seasons), but slow-paced and with a… Brian Fleury SEA · OC Fleury has never called plays, so per methodology §9 every tendency is a low-confidence system prior, not a Fleury track record — but the continuity claim is unusually strong and explicit: Fleury's… Kyle Shanahan SF · HC The canonical Shanahan/McVay-tree caller — mildly run-lean PROE at full strength (−2.2 both prior years, −0.9 in the injury-reshaped 2025), elite motion rate (66–70%, top tier all three years),… Zac Robinson TB · OC · year 1 A McVay-tree caller who ran a top-2 PROE (+3.85) even with a compromised QB room in 2025 — pass-tilted by instinct, quick-rhythm timing throws, PA near the high band, and a healthy 22.9% RB target… Brian Daboll TEN · OC · year 1 Daboll runs an Erhardt-Perkins (Patriots-tree) system — simplified concept-based calls, high-percentage short passing married to deep play-action shots. His two signature fantasy tendencies: he feeds… David Blough WAS · OC Blough is a 30-ish first-time caller installing a Ben Johnson-branch offense — the exact inverse of Kingsbury's league-extreme no-huddle/shotgun operation (50.2% no-huddle was nearly 3× the #2 team).…
League context

Team profiles — coaching, schemes, depth charts

ARIMike LaFleur low ATLTommy Rees low BALDeclan Doyle · new DC low BUFJoe Brady · new DC medium CARBrad Idzik low CHIBen Johnson medium CINZac Taylor high CLETodd Monken · new DC low DALBrian Schottenheimer · new DC high DENDavis Webb low DETDrew Petzing low GBMatt LaFleur · new DC medium HOUNick Caley medium INDShane Steichen medium JAXLiam Coen medium KCAndy Reid medium LACMike McDaniel · new DC low LARSean McVay high LVKlint Kubiak · new DC low MIABobby Slowik · new DC low MINKevin O'Connell medium NEJosh McDaniels medium NOKellen Moore medium NYGMatt Nagy · new DC low NYJFrank Reich · new DC low PHISean Mannion low PITMike McCarthy · new DC low SEABrian Fleury low SFKyle Shanahan · new DC medium TBZac Robinson medium TENBrian Daboll · new DC low WASDavid Blough · new DC low